Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.182468 0.209698 0.240720 0.278918 0.325008 0.379239 0.448485
2025-06-01 0.138237 0.172449 0.215751 0.275567 0.357649 0.468775 0.634993
2025-06-08 0.111687 0.147623 0.196682 0.270544 0.382613 0.552839 0.844984
2025-06-15 0.097564 0.135141 0.189731 0.278151 0.424698 0.672037 1.156766
2025-06-22 0.084335 0.121011 0.176885 0.272709 0.443244 0.757568 1.449537
2025-06-29 0.075899 0.112404 0.170459 0.275434 0.475314 0.876931 1.872989
2025-07-06 0.068106 0.103506 0.161840 0.272120 0.494689 0.977495 2.314803
2025-07-13 0.063116 0.098381 0.158564 0.277538 0.532423 1.131890 3.007467
2025-07-20 0.059043 0.094198 0.156174 0.283964 0.573934 1.312848 3.936712
2025-07-27 0.055447 0.090352 0.153749 0.289700 0.615513 1.513525 5.144846
2025-08-03 0.052553 0.087387 0.152493 0.297564 0.664692 1.761380 6.863414
2025-08-10 0.049425 0.083619 0.149127 0.300062 0.700986 1.990123 8.853922
2025-08-17 0.046409 0.079811 0.145323 0.301209 0.735419 2.238992 11.475327
2025-08-24 0.043432 0.075787 0.140595 0.299374 0.761418 2.477534 14.634482
2025-08-31 0.040508 0.071580 0.134968 0.294303 0.776407 2.685458 18.196096
2025-09-07 0.038961 0.069960 0.134693 0.302900 0.838631 3.151776 26.033171
2025-09-14 0.036487 0.066220 0.129287 0.296885 0.849803 3.387372 32.484053
2025-09-21 0.034872 0.064107 0.127306 0.299926 0.894852 3.845648 45.171727
2025-09-28 0.032963 0.061213 0.123201 0.296244 0.914021 4.181470 58.799911
2025-10-05 0.031809 0.059823 0.122465 0.302271 0.974158 4.844800 88.237685
2025-10-12 0.030796 0.058649 0.122110 0.309424 1.042718 5.664886 139.255993
2025-10-19 0.029807 0.057440 0.121527 0.315812 1.111647 6.602934 226.964399
2025-10-26 0.028995 0.056556 0.121656 0.324576 1.196597 7.839930 407.877547